working papers and papers that maybe someday i’ll get back to
Fighting rather than Bargaining. Revised version of paper presented at the 2007 Annual Meetings of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, August 30-September 2, 2007.
How Persistent Is Armed Conflict? (co-authored with David Laitin) Paper prepared for the 2012 Annual Meetings of the American Political Science Association.
Development Assistance and Collective Action Capacity: Results from a Field Experiment in Post-Conflict Liberia (co-authored with Macartan Humphreys and Jeremy Weinstein). Revised version of a paper presented at the 2011 Annual Meetings of the American Political Science Association, Seattle, WA, September 1-4, 2011.
Arming and Arms Races. Presented at the 2010 Annual Meetings of the American Political Science Association, Washington, DC, September 2-5, 2010.
Biological institutions: The political science of animal cooperation (co-authored with Erol Akcay, Joan Roughgarden, John Ferejohn, Barry Weingast). Stanford University, 2010.
Strategic Dynamics of Social Mimicry. Prepared for Workshop on Mimicry in Civil Wars, Oxford, December 2009.
A Simple Political Economy of Relations Among Democracies and Autocracies. Presented at the 2008 Annual Meetings of the American Political Science Association, Boston, August 27-31, 2008.
An International Organization for Democracies? Accreditation versus a “League” Stanford University, 2008
Civil War Termination (co-authored with David Laitin). Paper presented at the 2007 Annual Meetings of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, August 30-September 2, 2007.
Civil War and Economic Growth. Paper presented at the 2005 Annual Meetings of the American Political Science Association, Washington, D.C., September 1-4, 2005.
Ordinary Language and External Validity: Specifying Concepts in the Study of Ethnicity (co-authored with David Laitin). Paper presented at the 2000 Annual Meetings of the American Political Science Association, Washington, D.C., August 31-September 4.
Weak States, Rough Terrain, and Large-Scale Ethnic Violence Since 1945 Paper presented at the 1999 Annual Meetings of the American Political Science Association, Atlanta, GA, September 1999.
What is Identity (as we now use the word)? Stanford University, November 1999.
Why Ethnic Politics and ‘Pork’ Tend to Go Together Presented at an SSRC-MacArthur sponsored conference on “Ethnic Politics and Democratic Stability,” University of Chicago, May 21-23, 1999.
The Politicization of Cultural and Economic Difference: A Return to Regional Autonomy Movements Co-authored with Pieter Van Houten. Presented at the 1998 Annual Meetings of the American Political Science Association, Sept. 2-5, Boston, MA.
A Cross-sectional Study of Large-Scale Ethnic Violence in the Post-War Period. Co-authored with David Laitin. September 1997.
Bargaining Over Objects That Influence Future Bargaining Power Chicago Center on Democracy Working Paper, University of Chicago, 1995.
The Offense-Defense Balance and War Since 1648 Presented at the Annual Meetings of International Studies Association, Chicago, February 21-25, 1995.
Ethnic War as a Commitment Problem Presented the 1993 APSA Annual Meetings, New York.